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largest quarterly drop since the second quarter of 2004. The dramatic losses
Prose. no. 21 11
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- - basedbased asas allall majormajor sectors sectors movedmoved sharplysharply lower.lower. Investment Investment
guide credit suffered the largest decline with a decrease of 33% The U. S_ Ruese111000
Treasury and MSS sectors each returned 1. 9 %. The poor Second quarter w.ssdl MMmp YY
performance pushed the year-to-date and trailing one -year returns on the Pussml2o
Barclays Aggregate Index Into negative tenitory .
US Ape alal
cop US Tay 44
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US Mus
TIPS
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The Market Env S-'
Domestic Equity Style Index Performance
As W rime as ad
Within the U. S. equity market all arse groupings produced positive `
pecomanoz. Small caps, as represented by the Russell 2000 Index, were
Quarter Performance- Russell Style Series
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ahead of their large cap peers. For the third consecutive quarter, small caps r
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outperformed large caps in aggregate. The return for the Russell 2000 Idea la4e o
3. 1 %) outpaced that of the Russell 10W ( +27 %)by 40 basis points ( bps). bal ocad,
Equities, which were up as much as 4% earlier in the quire, were dbvn
lower as a result of Fed Chaiman Bernard, s influential comments.
Although the revision to the first quarter s GDP was disappointing at 1 . 8 % vs. ro
are original report of 2 E %, the main cause of the change was spending cuts leoo Grwtr
by the federal government sue to the sequester. The market gains during the
period were largely driven by the consumer sector. Housing posted
Impressive gains with building pennts running rear the one million rate once Mlacap Value
uncap Iota
again ( up from just below 800,000 year over year), and home prices are Y
showed strong signs of recovery in more markets. Retail sales also mmcap Vu.
Improved n
Price- toeamings( PE) multiples rose to their highest levels In three War, As 2o00iaa
the economic recovery has broatlered, consumer confidence readings have
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improved and are near six War highs, Consumer cortitlenoe readings are an
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important preditlor Per consumer spelling a ourmng for 70% of the U S
nomy, which Influence and drive the markets. Corporate profits also 1 - year Performance- Russell Style Series °
continue to show a steady advance all are 20% above the peak a tho last c
Iona vane a
recovery cycle In 2006.
sx
The quavers ( onward S& P 500 PE to was 13. 8X ( on forward 12month anon Gcaren s% cece
EPS estimates of $ 116, 12). placing the S& P 500 above the 5 -year average ro
forward PE of 12aX but below the 10 -year forward PE of 14. 1X, which
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suggests equities were not ovemnced but were not tenibly atleainve either,
Forward estimates aligned with Dast 12 month earnings trends, which reflect
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33
loon suall r%
the record cancer, levels for the S& P 500 that was driven by heightened CC
pmft margins but flat revenue growth. u
MIOCap Value
At 13gX current PE. the large cap blend ( Russell 1000 Index) segment mmcap lade, ax
sported the most favorable valuation when compared to its 20 year M1istchi
11 reek
average of 162X ( 862 %). Small cap value ( Russell 2000 Value lack) was rel GmMh
the ` nkheaf of the traditional style box segments at 107, 2% ( 15. 3X cadent
vs 142X historical)- 1000 Value e 11
E
2000 Grow 2T% e
111 6. 0% tort% 150% 100% 169, IOM
